Bowl projections: Michigan creates distance in College Football Playoff bid as Florida State avoids upset

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Barring the most unexpected, one spot has now been locked up for a specific New Year’s Six game slot. This ruined the Cardinals’ chances of making it to the College Football Playoff, as Louisville was upset at home by in-state rival Kentucky. Because the Orange Bowl will either get the ACC champion — if not in the CFP — or the highest-ranked conference team out of the playoffs, Louisville will be that team.

If Louisville wins the ACC crown at Florida State next Saturday, the Cardinals will go to the Orange Bowl as league champions. If not, the Seminoles are in the playoffs and Louisville will be the highest-ranked ACC team.

So, what would fall into the “most unexpected” category? (1) FSU won the ACC, but the CFP selection committee decided for the first time to leave an undefeated major conference team out of the playoffs. (2) FSU wins and advances to the CFP, but Louisville has one more win and a road win over the Wolfpack, but the committee drops the Cardinals below NC State.

We’ll break down each team’s path to the College Football Playoff later this week, but there are still eight teams in the running, the four that control their own destiny: Georgia, Michigan, Washington and Florida State. It is no coincidence that all these teams are currently undefeated. We’ve never had a CFP with four undefeated teams, but we’ve never had four undefeated teams this season in the CFP era.

College football game

January 8

National Championship
Houston

Title game Semi-final winners
January 1 Sugar Bowl
New Orleans
semi-final (1) Georgia with (4). Oregon

January 1

Rose Bowl
Pasadena, California

semi-final

(2) Michigan from (3) State of Florida

New Year’s Six bowl games

With the demise of the Pac-12 and the expansion of other major conferences, we will see some pot conference pairings next season. The Pac-12 has contracts with six bowls outside of the CFP. The Big Ten and Big 12 will probably end up with some of those spots next season.

The competition for the 82 bowl-eligible teams came to a satisfying conclusion on Saturday. We ended up with only 79 teams at 6-6 or better, but that left room for James Madison and Jacksonville State to reach the postseason when they were ineligible while making the FBS transition.

With JMU added as a filler, the Sun Belt will have 12 of its 14 teams this season, half with 6-6 records. There are 12 bowls that Sun Belt teams play in, so this doesn’t seem like a problem, with the New Mexico Bowl usually getting a Conference USA team opposite the Mountain West and New Mexico State qualifying for the second. direct season. Last year, the Aggies wound up filling out the Big Ten in the Quick Lane Bowl, but ESPN gave the New Mexico Bowl a pretty good informal matchup instead. It’s a tough call to leave New Mexico State again this season.

Instead, I suspect ESPN will ask the AAC to give up its spot in the Hawaii Bowl to the 12th ranked Sun Belt team. With the SEC short two teams eligible for the playoffs this season, SMU is expected to fill in the Liberty Bowl.

Minnesota will be the only team to go 5-7 in a bowl game this season. In the year The Golden Gophers are the second 5-7 team to play in a bowl for non-Covid-19-related reasons since the ballpark expanded in 2017. Rice is the other team in 2022, so this will be the second straight season. 5-7 group.

This week we’ll get some leaks about the bowl matches, so I’ll update the bowl predictions page as information becomes available. The Bahamas Bowl was announced this week to give teams more time to prepare for the international trip, but the bowl had to move to Charlotte this season due to stadium renovations. Which means it will be announced next Sunday along with the other games.

Don’t see your team? check out Jerry Palm bowl predictions After week 13. And make sure you roll ours Plate Eligibility Tracker Filters for 2023-24.





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